Updated 2026-05-25 · ACA brief
2026 ACA premium changes — Florida + Texas marketplace impact
Quick answer: 2026 ACA benchmark silver premiums rose 26% on average nationally — the largest single-year increase in eight years (KFF, 2026). Florida benchmark jumped 34.1% (FL OIR), Texas ~22%. Enhanced ARPA/IRA subsidies expired 12/31/2025, restoring the 400% FPL subsidy cliff ($62,600 single / $128,600 family of 4). 80% of enrollees still qualify for some subsidy.
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Outside the windows, Special Enrollment Periods (SEP) still let you change plans if you moved, lost coverage, qualify for Extra Help / dual eligible, or had a plan terminated. Call to see if you qualify.
Check SEP eligibility (15-min) →What changed for 2026
Three concurrent shifts drove the 2026 ACA premium surge:
- Enhanced subsidies expired. ARPA (2021) + IRA (2022) capped premium contributions at 8.5% of income and eliminated the 400% FPL cliff. Both expired 12/31/2025. House passed extension Jan 2026; Senate undecided as of late May 2026.
- Carrier filings reset higher. Insurers priced 2026 plans assuming the subsidy expansion would NOT renew — meaning the enrollee gets the full price, not the subsidized price that was previously the de facto market price.
- Medical inflation + reinsurance changes. CMS reduced federal reinsurance funding for state-based exchanges; medical-cost trend ran ~7% in 2025.
Florida impact — the largest ACA state
Florida is the #1 ACA marketplace state in the U.S. — 4.54 million enrollees in 2026 per the CMS Marketplace 2026 Open Enrollment Period National Snapshot (Becker's Payer Issues, January 2026). Per the Florida Office of Insurance Regulation rate filings, the benchmark silver plan rose 34.1% — from $648/month in 2025 to $867/month in 2026 (40-year-old non-smoker). Florida-specific drivers:
- ~80% of Florida enrollees were in heavily-subsidized plans paying $0-$10/month before; the subsidy reset more than doubled the average net premium for that cohort.
- Florida-Blue, Oscar, Ambetter (Centene), Molina remain the major carriers — none exited the marketplace, but all repriced upward.
- Self-employed Floridians (Florida has one of the highest self-employment rates) are disproportionately affected by the subsidy cliff — 82% of self-employed nationally claimed PTC in 2022.
→ Florida ACA Marketplace details by county
Texas impact — the #2 ACA state
Texas has ~4 million ACA marketplace enrollees as of 2026. Average benchmark silver rose ~22%, with material variation across the state's 26 rating areas. The Rio Grande Valley and Houston metro saw the largest absolute premium dollar increases due to lower starting baselines. Carrier landscape: Ambetter (Centene), Oscar, Blue Cross Blue Shield of Texas (HCSC), UnitedHealthcare, Community Health Choice, and Molina all continue serving the marketplace.
→ Texas ACA Marketplace details by county
The 400% FPL subsidy cliff — 2026 thresholds
With enhanced subsidies expired, the pre-ARPA cliff is back. Households earning more than 400% of the Federal Poverty Level receive zero premium tax credit — even one dollar over the line. 2026 thresholds (based on 2025 FPL):
| Household size | 100% FPL | 200% FPL | 400% FPL (cliff) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 person | $15,650 | $31,300 | $62,600 |
| 2 people | $21,150 | $42,300 | $84,600 |
| 3 people | $26,650 | $53,300 | $106,600 |
| 4 people | $32,150 | $64,300 | $128,600 |
| 5 people | $37,650 | $75,300 | $150,600 |
Source: HHS Poverty Guidelines + ACA premium tax credit eligibility rules (45 C.F.R. §155.305). 2026 coverage year uses 2025 FPL.
If your premium just jumped — what to compare
Three things worth running side-by-side before re-enrolling:
- Bronze with HSA. If you're healthy and the deductible is manageable, a high-deductible bronze plan paired with an HSA can net out cheaper than subsidized silver — especially if you're now over 400% FPL.
- Catastrophic coverage. Available under-30 or with a hardship exemption. Limited but cheap.
- Bridge to Medicare. If you're 60-65, COBRA + a short-term plan might bridge the gap to Medicare more economically than full-price marketplace.
Got hit by the 2026 premium increase?
We compare your 2026 options at no cost. Pick a time — Matt will model your subsidy scenario, run bronze/silver/gold side-by-side, and surface bridge-to-Medicare options if you're between 60 and 65.
Sources: KFF Marketplace 2026 Benchmark Premium Analysis · FL OIR 2026 Rate Filings · CMS Marketplace 2026 OEP National Snapshot · HHS 2025 Federal Poverty Guidelines · Becker's Payer Issues January 2026 reporting on CMS National Snapshot. Giron Agency LLC is a licensed insurance agency.